Most market timers are out of time:

TSX60As you know – many of the broader Global stock indices are at or close to all-time highs. We at Getting Technical conclude that any attempt to time the market is a failed strategy. Investors who use fully invested longer term models do better than investors who over-trade or market time. Investors who use fully invested dominant theme models do better than investors who over-trade or market time. Our focus will remain on the Global, TSX models and Dominant Theme investing

At Getting Technical our historical market studies dictate that bear markets print a lower low within a rolling 26 to 30 week time window. The TSX timing model displayed is based on a simple 26 week price channel.

Strategy – Investors should remain fully invested during a “buy” and then go to a 10 to 15% cash position during a “sell” signal. The last “buy” on the TSX60 (23.49) was signaled on May 27, 2016 at 20.82 on the index.

 

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One Response to “Most market timers are out of time:”

  1. Matt Lewis says:

    Hi Bill, glad to see you are back to doing the odd blog post. Thanks for all your great work! On your previous post, do you think MDI has broken out above $8? Weekly volume doesn’t look exceptional.

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